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Volume 2026 · Issue 08-11

按期刊卷期页方式整理本期论文。每条仅使用日报已列出的可追溯公开来源,不新增未经核验事实。

Research Article热管理与液冷

Predictive Failure Detection in Network Hardware Using Thermal Imaging and Deep Learning with Sensor Fusion

Ashly Joseph

Published 2026-08-05 · arXiv · Credibility S

Unplanned network hardware malfunctions can interrupt services and result in expensive downtime in data centers. A deep learning-based predictive maintenance strategy is presented that utilizes thermal imaging and power sensor data to detect early indicators of equipment breakdown in routers, switches, and servers. A simulated dataset was generated comprising annotated thermal pictures and power readings indicative …

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

Unplanned network hardware malfunctions can interrupt services and result in expensive downtime in data centers. A deep learning-based predictive maintenance strategy is presented that utilizes thermal imaging and power sensor data to detect early indicators of equipment breakdown in routers, switches, and servers. A simulated dataset was generated comprising annotated thermal pictures and power readings indicative of three operating states: Normal, Warning, and Critical. Three ImageNet-pretrained convolutional neural network (CNN) models ResNet-50, InceptionV3, and VGG16 were assessed together with a multi-modal CNN-LSTM fusion model that integrates visual and sensor time-series information. Experiments were performed with and without pre-processing procedures, including region-of-interest (ROI) extraction and normalization. In the absence of pre-processing, CNNs attained moderate accuracy (e.g., ResNet-50 at 52%), but ROI-based pre-processing significantly enhanced performance (ResNet-50 accuracy reaching 91%). The CNN-LSTM model attained the greatest accuracy of 94%, with precision and recall approaching 95%, illustrating the effectiveness of multi-modal fusion. The results validate that domain-specific pre-processing and sensor fusion substantially improve early failure prediction, providing a potential foundation for proactive maintenance of network hardware through non-intrusive monitoring.

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Research Article算电协同

Beyond the Grid: Cost, Carbon, and Capital Requirements of On-Site Power Technologies for AI Data Centers

Eliseo Curcio

Published 2026-08-08 · arXiv · Credibility S

Interconnection queues, not electricity prices, now govern where data centers can be built, and the standard levelized-cost comparison answers a question no developer faces: it assumes a load profile, freezes the grid price while modeling the demand that moves it, and quotes busbar costs a facility cannot buy. This paper evaluates nine on-site supply technologies against a delivered grid whose price is endogenous to…

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

Interconnection queues, not electricity prices, now govern where data centers can be built, and the standard levelized-cost comparison answers a question no developer faces: it assumes a load profile, freezes the grid price while modeling the demand that moves it, and quotes busbar costs a facility cannot buy. This paper evaluates nine on-site supply technologies against a delivered grid whose price is endogenous to projected data-center demand, on a complete-site basis that retains standby charges, with measured GPU training load, delivered fuel prices, production-pathway carbon, and statutory 45V and 48E incentive mechanics. Nothing beats the wire: gas combined cycle produces at 47 USD/MWh but costs about 114 USD per megawatt-hour of complete site energy against a 92 USD grid; four-hour storage is physically capped near 18 percent of annual energy and, charged at the margin, dirtier than the grid; hydrogen from grid-priced power fails on cost and carbon together. An investment inversion converts these findings into capital terms: conversion-hardware learning buys nothing, because free hardware still exceeds the grid for every low-carbon arm, while global electrolyser deployment on sited sub-20 USD/MWh power brings PEM hydrogen power to about 2.2 times the grid at 300 billion USD and 1.9 times at 1 trillion USD (2.7 and 2.3 for the hydrogen engine), with a carbon reduction of roughly 85 percent (6.8-fold) against grid-power production. Grid parity is not purchasable at any budget. On-site supply is an access and depth product; most current investment targets the wrong term.

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Research Article算电协同

Environmental and Economic Implications of Artificial Intelligence Data Centers in the United States

Johanna Bolaños-Zuñiga, Alberto J. Lamadrid

Published 2026-08-10 · arXiv · Credibility S

In this study, we use electricity demand growth, cooling requirements, and backup system operation to evaluate the environmental and economic implications of artificial intelligence data centers in the United States. Our results indicate that impacts are not determined solely by facility design, but by the broader electricity, water, and land-use systems in which these facilities operate. Emissions are primarily dri…

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

In this study, we use electricity demand growth, cooling requirements, and backup system operation to evaluate the environmental and economic implications of artificial intelligence data centers in the United States. Our results indicate that impacts are not determined solely by facility design, but by the broader electricity, water, and land-use systems in which these facilities operate. Emissions are primarily driven by electricity consumption and therefore depend on marginal generation mixes, transmission constraints, and the spatial and temporal distribution of demand. Analysis further shows that local effects include pressures on water resources, increased noise exposure, and land-use changes, with outcomes varying across regions and infrastructure conditions. The assessment of technological and operational measures shows that improvements in energy efficiency, cooling configurations, and operational strategies can reduce these impacts, although their effectiveness depends on system-level conditions. Evaluation of regulatory and market structures suggests that existing frameworks may not fully account for location- and time-specific externalities. These findings support the need for integrated policy approaches that align data center deployment and operation with electricity system characteristics, water availability, and land-use planning to improve overall environmental and economic performance.

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Research Article算电协同

A Hierarchical Semi-Markov Load Model for AI Data Centers Coupling Job Scheduling with Bulk-Synchronous-Parallel Power Dynamics

Chandan Chaudhary, Atri Bera, Cody Newlun, Mohammed Ben-Idris, Joydeep Mitra

Published 2026-07-13 · arXiv · Credibility S

AI data centers are emerging as a dominant new load class with their power dynamics fundamentally from conventional industrial loads. Inside a training job, the bulk-synchronous-parallel algorithm moves each node through compute, sync, and checkpoint steps, which swings power between full load and near idle within seconds. Across the whole facility, jobs arrive, take blocks of nodes for hours to days, then leave, so…

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

AI data centers are emerging as a dominant new load class with their power dynamics fundamentally from conventional industrial loads. Inside a training job, the bulk-synchronous-parallel algorithm moves each node through compute, sync, and checkpoint steps, which swings power between full load and near idle within seconds. Across the whole facility, jobs arrive, take blocks of nodes for hours to days, then leave, so the number of busy nodes changes daily, weekly, and yearly. This slower shift drives facility-wide swings and the peak demand that sets the size of the grid link. A model that looks only at within-job behavior, and treats the facility as a fixed set of busy nodes, smooths out these swings and misses the true peak-to-average ratio. This paper develops a hierarchical semi-Markov Data-Center (HSM-DC) load model that couples two layers across two timescales. A job-scheduling layer creates jobs through a non-homogeneous compound-Poisson process shaped by daily, weekly, and seasonal patterns, gives each job a heavy-tailed node count and length, and places jobs on a fixed pool of nodes on a first-come basis. A within-job layer moves each busy node through a five-state semi-Markov chain for the BSP steps, with state-based Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise. Facility power comes from this changing node count and the per-node power, set to match measured node data and the facility's straight-line power-versus-load curve. Configured to the reference facility at the same scale, the model matches mean power, its spread, and the peak-to-average ratio across load levels, with fit scores of 0.9997, 0.92, and 0.82. It also matches the share of queued jobs to within one point at high load. Facility-wide swings and peak demand come from how jobs arrive and get scheduled, so grid planning must model that process, not just scale up a single node's power curve.

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Research Article热管理与液冷

Zero-change foundry compatible silicon photonics MEMS optical switch

Arkadev Roy, Daniel Klawson, Jianheng Luo, Yiyang Zhi, Sirui Tang, Ming Wu

Published 2026-08-04 · arXiv · Credibility S

Large-scale photonic switches are emerging as essential devices for energy-efficient optical interconnect in data centers and AI/ML clusters as a key enabler for high-bandwidth and low-latency connectivity. Combining micro-electro-mechanical (MEMS) based mechanical reconfigurability with silicon photonic integrated circuits can enable a large-scale, low-loss, programmable platform required for large-scale optical ci…

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

Large-scale photonic switches are emerging as essential devices for energy-efficient optical interconnect in data centers and AI/ML clusters as a key enabler for high-bandwidth and low-latency connectivity. Combining micro-electro-mechanical (MEMS) based mechanical reconfigurability with silicon photonic integrated circuits can enable a large-scale, low-loss, programmable platform required for large-scale optical circuit switches. We demonstrate a broadband silicon photonics MEMS switch with more than 30 dB extinction ratio operating in C-band using a zero-change foundry-compatible process and Back-end-of-Line (BEOL) post-processing. The optical switch element exhibits an insertion loss of less than 1.5 dB with a low static power consumption of approx 20 nW at maximum actuation voltage. Our results illustrate that MEMS-based silicon photonics modulators and phase shifters can be used alongside standard silicon photonics components seamlessly in scenarios where performance in terms of footprint, extinction ratio, broad bandwidth, and low-loss operation is of paramount importance.

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Research Article热管理与液冷

The Cost and Network Limits of Space-Based AI Compute

Kees van Berkel

Published 2026-07-15 · arXiv · Credibility S

This paper evaluates whether large-scale AI data centers deployed in low-Earth orbit (LEO) could become a cost-effective alternative to terrestrial facilities. The analysis compares orbital and ground-based systems across launch cost, power generation, cooling, radiation exposure, and atmospheric reentry, as well as compute-network performance. A key distinction is the shift from terrestrial Clos networks to space-b…

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

This paper evaluates whether large-scale AI data centers deployed in low-Earth orbit (LEO) could become a cost-effective alternative to terrestrial facilities. The analysis compares orbital and ground-based systems across launch cost, power generation, cooling, radiation exposure, and atmospheric reentry, as well as compute-network performance. A key distinction is the shift from terrestrial Clos networks to space-based mesh networks using laser inter-satellite links. Using bisection bandwidth, bisection intensity, and roofline-style models, we show that while LEO-based inference may be feasible, training frontier-scale LLMs in orbit is unlikely to be competitive with terrestrial data centers.

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Research Article算电协同

The Environmental Cost of Digital Sovereignty: Water, Energy, and Emissions Impacts of Sovereign AI Infrastructure in the Global South

Muntaser Syed, Marius C. Silaghi, Sheikh Abujar, Sharun Akter Khushbu, Amal El Ahmad

Published 2026-07-15 · arXiv · Credibility S

Sovereign AI has become a strategic priority across the Global South, with over \$200 billion in state-led commitments announced between 2024 and 2026. Yet the physical infrastructure that compute sovereignty demands, above all data centers, imposes water, energy, and carbon costs that fall hardest on countries least equipped to absorb them. This paper presents a comparative environmental stress analysis across four…

Abstract, interpretation and reference

Abstract

Sovereign AI has become a strategic priority across the Global South, with over \$200 billion in state-led commitments announced between 2024 and 2026. Yet the physical infrastructure that compute sovereignty demands, above all data centers, imposes water, energy, and carbon costs that fall hardest on countries least equipped to absorb them. This paper presents a comparative environmental stress analysis across four cases: the United Arab Emirates, Bangladesh, India, and Africa (with a focus on Kenya). Using publicly available water stress data, grid carbon intensity factors, and GPU power specifications, we model the water consumption, energy demand, and carbon emissions of hypothetical sovereign AI deployments under multiple cooling technology scenarios. We find that a 1,024-GPU cluster using evaporative cooling in the UAE would consume over 30 million liters of water annually in a country classified as ``extremely high'' water stress. In Bangladesh, sovereign AI policy documents call for centralized GPU procurement but do not address where to site data centers in a country where more than a fifth of the land floods in an average year and the power grid struggles to deliver reliable supply. We identify a sovereignty-sustainability trilemma in which no country can simultaneously maximize AI sovereignty, minimize environmental impact, and maintain affordable resource access for citizens. We propose design principles for environmentally responsible sovereign AI, including mandatory water usage effectiveness reporting, climate-vulnerability siting assessments, and a preference for frugal small language models over frontier pre-training in resource-constrained settings.

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Research Article算电协同

A Stackelberg-Bayesian Capacity-Market Game of Carbon Regulation and Second-Life Battery Investment under AI Data-Center Load Growth

Rouzbeh Haghighi, Ali Hassan, Sina Mohammadi, Marcus Chen I Wada, Wencong Su

Published 2026-08-04 · arXiv · Credibility S

Artificial intelligence (AI) data centers are driving rapid electricity load growth across all U.S. ISO/RTO regions, raising both system costs and carbon exposure. This study develops a three-level Stackelberg--Bayesian game in which a regulator (leader) sets carbon penalties and subsidies, a single ISO capacity market clears against an energy balance modeled as a classical generation-expansion problem, and technolo…

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Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) data centers are driving rapid electricity load growth across all U.S. ISO/RTO regions, raising both system costs and carbon exposure. This study develops a three-level Stackelberg--Bayesian game in which a regulator (leader) sets carbon penalties and subsidies, a single ISO capacity market clears against an energy balance modeled as a classical generation-expansion problem, and technology-specific investors (followers) decide capacity and operation under incomplete information, yielding a Bayesian Nash equilibrium. The AI impact is captured parsimoniously as an additional load-growth factor on a greenfield-incremental expansion, isolating how much new capacity the growth pulls in and which technology fills it. Within this framework, we consider second-life battery (SLB) storage competing against new/first-life storage for capacity-market revenue. We quantify how a carbon tax, a renewable subsidy, and an SLB subsidy reshape the equilibrium investment mix, carbon emissions, and profit. Different scenarios are compared at the end based on cost-effectiveness and reduced carbon emissions.

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